The Motley Fool | 2016-08-13T18:04:00Z
No book has had a more profound impact on my investing than Nassim Taleb's Anti fragile. It argues that the entire world can be broken into three categories:- The Fragile: things that break as soon as stress is applied -- like a glass falling off of a table.
- The Robust: things that stay absolutely the same under stress -- a rubber ball falling from the same table.
- The Anti fragile:things that become more powerful when stressors are introduced -- think of how your bone heals back stronger than before after it's broken.
I created a compelling narrative for the first stock I ever wrote about for The Fool six years ago. Since then, that stock has trailed the market by a whopping 172 percentage points!
By viewing the investing world through an "anti fragile" lens, I eliminate the narrative bias by focusing on three attributes:
- Lots of cash and lots of customers: cash gives companies options during downturns -- outspending rivals, buying back stock, or acquisitions. Debt does the opposite. And by having lots of customers, a company doesn't run the risk of losing an outsized portion of business if a client walks away.
- Management with skin in the game: When the people running the company have their own skin in the game -- via shares of the company's stock -- their long-term interests are aligned with ours. That benefit compounds when founders are running the company, as they often view it as a literal extension of themselves.
- A barbell approach:This means having two sides to your strategy --
on one hand you have a business segment that has a wide moat. On the other hand,
you take lots of low-probability, low-risk, high-reward bets -- a trait
otherwise known as "optionality".